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South Asia Weekly Report | Volume XII; Issue 40
Oct 10, 2019

South Asia Weekly Report | Volume XII; Issue 40

Assembly elections and the challenges before the Indian National Congress, developments in Maldives — and other news from South Asia.

South Asia Weekly | XIII; 52
Jan 02, 2021

South Asia Weekly | XIII; 52

News and analyses from South Asia this week.

South Asia’s cyclical geopolitical trends likely to continue in 2019
Jan 14, 2019

South Asia’s cyclical geopolitical trends likely to continue in 2019

The story of 2019, whatever the outcome of parliamentary elections, will essentially be about India adjusting its engagements in its neighbourhood.

Spokespersons at the Inquisitions, Cap in Hand
Dec 24, 2010

Spokespersons at the Inquisitions, Cap in Hand

The Burari session of the Congress, NDA rally, JPC-PAC sparring, onion and scams, are all building up to a lively election season beginning early next year - Tamilnadu, West Bengal, Kerala, Pondicherry, Assam, leading to UP elections in 2012 and the General Elections in 2014.

Sri Lanka: A strident message across the Palk Strait
Sep 13, 2013

Sri Lanka: A strident message across the Palk Strait

Tamil National Alliance (TNA) chief ministerial candidate for the Northern Provincial Council (NPC) elections in Sri Lanka, Justice C V Wigneswaran, could not have said it more candidly and categorically.

Sri Lanka: Critical polls caught between COVID-19 and Constitution
May 06, 2020

Sri Lanka: Critical polls caught between COVID-19 and Constitution

While the government wants early elections despite mixed reports about its handling of the COVID-19 crisis — the opposition wants the polls postponed.

Sri Lanka: Poll Results and the Peace Process
Apr 06, 2004

Sri Lanka: Poll Results and the Peace Process

The just-concluded parliamentary polls in Sri Lanka may have a lesson or two for political parties in India, which too is facing elections in the coming weeks. If past parallels are any indicator of a sub-continental voter-behaviour, the average Sri Lankan has gone with bread-and-butter issues, highlighted by the United People¿s Freedom Alliance (UPFA)

Sri Lanka: Tamil separatists putting India on notice again?
Jun 09, 2015

Sri Lanka: Tamil separatists putting India on notice again?

With Tamil Nadu Assembly elections due by May next year and an anti-Jaya political realignment likely on cards, the Sri Lankan Tamil 'separatists' appear to be trying to drive a wedge between political parties in Tamil Nadu. The purpose seems to be to try and embarrass prospective allies of the DMK.

Sri Lanka: Will ‘minority votes’ still decide the ‘majority’ ruler?
Oct 25, 2019

Sri Lanka: Will ‘minority votes’ still decide the ‘majority’ ruler?

Most minorities are Tamil-speaking, accounting for a substantial 30% of the population.

Super PACs and campaign fundraising: Sky is the limit
Jul 08, 2015

Super PACs and campaign fundraising: Sky is the limit

The amount of money which are expected to be raised and spent in the campaigns leading to the US Presidential elections of 2016 are being seen as unprecedented. At the centre of this complex cycle between big money and US election campaigns are the new breed of organisations called the Super PACs.

Taking election reforms forward — and seemingly, too
May 20, 2019

Taking election reforms forward — and seemingly, too

With the current poll processes expected to come to a close long before the month-end, the Election Commission may need to address the two questions t

Talks alone can solve Kashmir problem
Dec 14, 2013

Talks alone can solve Kashmir problem

It is obvious that the Kashmir problem has to be resolved only through negotiations between the two Prime Ministers. With the recent election results from the four States going against the UPA, it is likely that Pakistan may not make an effective push towards a solution of the issue till the next parliamentary elections are over.

Talks of US leaving Afghanistan Premature
Oct 10, 2011

Talks of US leaving Afghanistan Premature

The Indo-Afghanistan strategic partnership is also an important backup for the region because of uncertainties on account of the run upto the US Presidential elections in November 2012.

The autumn of the Queen
Sep 22, 2017

The autumn of the Queen

Angela Merkel will win the German elections on Sunday, but her power base is quickly eroding. Here is how she needs to change course.

The Biden worldview and its implications for India
Sep 08, 2020

The Biden worldview and its implications for India

Although Biden has invoked Trump’s Indo-Pacific construct to promise continuity on US-India ties, the US Congress’ shift to a reformist — from i

The Challenges in Muizzu's Maldives: A Stocktaking
Apr 05, 2024

The Challenges in Muizzu's Maldives: A Stocktaking

Mohamed Muizzu was sworn in as the seventh president of the Maldives in November 2023 after intense electoral competition with seven other candidates and a highly competitive second round. However, his administration’s five-year term will not be without challenges. Muizzu’s rise to power comes at a time when the archipelago is experiencing significant domestic and strategic challenges. As the Maldives gears up for parliamentary elections in l

The China challenge takes centre stage in Asian polls
Apr 25, 2019

The China challenge takes centre stage in Asian polls

China’s role in reshaping the political milieu in many countries is causing a sense of unease

The conflict in Democratic Republic of Congo
Oct 10, 2016

The conflict in Democratic Republic of Congo

In the present crisis in Congo there is a possibility of escalation of violence if Kabila continues to find reasons to postpone elections

The EU-US Summit: Where trade is messier than geopolitics
Oct 28, 2023

The EU-US Summit: Where trade is messier than geopolitics

With elections due in 2024 in both the EU and the US, stabilising the relationship and easing lingering tensions before potential changes in leadershi

The fate of the European Green Deal
Jun 08, 2024

The fate of the European Green Deal

With the 2024 European Parliament elections taking place from 6-9 June, the fate of the European Green Deal hangs in the balance.

The foreign policy dimension of the US presidential election
Sep 29, 2020

The foreign policy dimension of the US presidential election

Whoever wins the November election, the structural constraints that affect US foreign policy behaviour will remain. China will remain a key rival, rel

The Hasina Homerun
Jan 12, 2024

The Hasina Homerun

How Delhi can make the most of its ties with Dhaka

The hilly terrain: Discussing health in Manipur
Mar 04, 2017

The hilly terrain: Discussing health in Manipur

Numbers project a very progressive picture of Manipur, but they fail to capture some of the key issues around health outcomes, coverage and infrastruc

The identity fault lines of a West Bengal voter
Jun 19, 2019

The identity fault lines of a West Bengal voter

The fallout of this election forefronts the fault lines in the Bengali identity whose syncretic political and cultural climate has now been marred by religious insecurities.

The last lap of America’s Presidential polls
Oct 21, 2020

The last lap of America’s Presidential polls

The US election is just two weeks away. While it is still unpredictable, the probability of Trump winning is getting lower due to a variety of reasons

The Libyan quagmire: An uneasy path towards democracy
Mar 10, 2022

The Libyan quagmire: An uneasy path towards democracy

For Libya to successfully achieve democratic transition, it will need to overcome the various impediments in its path.

The Malé Dossier: An introduction to Maldivian polity 2024
Oct 09, 2023

The Malé Dossier: An introduction to Maldivian polity 2024

As the new administration in Maldives prepares to swear into power in November, political parties are embracing new alliances, roles, and responsibili

The mirage of US-China detente
May 28, 2024

The mirage of US-China detente

Blinken’s visit may be another way of signalling to China that it shouldn’t exploit any crisis to escalate new ones, at least until the US elections are over

The MMA and its Future
Feb 27, 2004

The MMA and its Future

The strong showing of the six religious party¿s alliance, Muttahida Majlis-e-Amal (MMA) in the October 2002 general elections in Pakistan has led to apprehensions among the tribe of Pakistan watchers worldwide about the inexorable slide of a nuclear-armed Pakistan towards ¿talibanisation¿.

The Modi govt's real test is yet to come
May 27, 2015

The Modi govt's real test is yet to come

The real test for any government is elections - both state and central. The Narendra Modi government faces one later this year when elections will take place to the Bihar.

The morality play in economic policy
Nov 10, 2017

The morality play in economic policy

Morality is a slippery slope to tread in public affairs. It’s certainly an individual virtue, but at a societal level it’s difficult to define.

The political transformation of India under the aegis of Narendra Modi
May 23, 2019

The political transformation of India under the aegis of Narendra Modi

The lesson of 2019: The Modi generation, which is and will be India’s most influential ever, will reshape this country

The priorities for Sheikh Hasina, post election
Jan 14, 2019

The priorities for Sheikh Hasina, post election

For Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, some seriously onerous tasks are out there which require swift and sophisticated handling.

The real scandal behind team Trump's alleged Russian 'collusion'
Apr 03, 2017

The real scandal behind team Trump's alleged Russian 'collusion'

The real red herring is the Russia collusion story considering there is zero evidence that Russia actually tampered with the US elections.

The rise of FARC dissidents: Continuation of the Colombian Crisis post-2016 Peace Deal
Dec 12, 2023

The rise of FARC dissidents: Continuation of the Colombian Crisis post-2016 Peace Deal

The “total peace” plan of the Petro administration needs an inclusive approach to eliminate all violent activities by the FARC dissidents

The rise of null politics
Mar 15, 2017

The rise of null politics

The elections of this motley crew, with their limited interest in liberalism, has been dubbed the ‘rise of the right’ across the world.

The Road to Inclusive Democracy: Measuring the Political Participation of Women in India (1951-2019)
Jul 20, 2023

The Road to Inclusive Democracy: Measuring the Political Participation of Women in India (1951-2019)

This paper analyses historical trends in women’s participation in Indian democracy as voters, contestants, and legislators, using data on state assembly elections between the first one in 1951, and 2019. The paper finds that India is witnessing a strengthening of its democracy as measured in terms of an unprecedented growth in the political participation of women in these three roles. In these 73 years of Indian democracy, the turnout of women

The spirit of ‘compromis à la belge’
Jan 10, 2024

The spirit of ‘compromis à la belge’

As the country that hosts the EU institutions with Brussels known as the EU’s de facto capital, Belgium has been instrumental in the EU’s evolutio

The Sri Lankan crisis: Domestic and regional implications
Apr 29, 2022

The Sri Lankan crisis: Domestic and regional implications

The deteriorating economic crisis in Sri Lanka has grown into a political movement against the government who secured a landslide victory in the 2020

The Suu Kyi factor in China's Myanmar policy
Jun 12, 2015

The Suu Kyi factor in China's Myanmar policy

As Myanmar's general elections draws nearer and at a time when China's relations with Myanmar's military-backed government comes under increasing strains in recent months, Beijing seems to be stepping up its multiple-engagement strategy with key political actors to prepare itself for any eventuality post-elections.

The trail Trump’s blazing
Nov 16, 2016

The trail Trump’s blazing

Trump phenomenon will play out in the world with uncertaintyonly going to grow in years to come as democracies take recourse to rising tides of nationalism