-
CENTRES
Progammes & Centres
Location
How suitable is coal based power policy for India? (part– II)
T |
he fast receding Himalayan glaciers, increase in sea level rise as experienced in Sundarbans, unpredictable weather patterns etc. have all been experienced and confirmed in recent years. These corroborate the findings of a report titled as “BLUE ALERT “commissioned by Greenpeace, in which about 120 Million people are estimated to migrate to larger cities towards the second half of this century because of the direct/ indirect effects of Global Warming in the business-as-usual scenario. The colossal impact of such large scale migration to large cities, whose infrastructures are already stretched to limits, is hard to imagine. This report concludes by saying that Climate Change is the most serious environmental problem
For these and many other reasons a number of countries around the world are contemplating decommissioning of old and inefficient coal power plants, and also not approving new plants. The idea of clean coal power and carbon sequestration largely appears to be theories only so far, and may not turn out to be environmentally and commercially viable.
Costs & Benefits and societal issues
The above discussed issues are particularly relevant to states like Karnataka which have no known fossil fuel reserves, and which may be highly water stressed states. The Karnataka’s CM is on record saying that locating coal power stations in the state is not economical because of the need to transport coal over long distances. He is reported to have said this at the time of signing the agreement with Chattisgarh to set up a coal power plant in that state for Karnataka’s use. It is ironical that the same state government is planning to set up few coal power stations in Karnataka, in addition to asking the central government for setting up two Ultra Mega Power Projects in Karnataka.
The National Forest Policy recommends a forest/ tree cover of 33% of the land surface for a healthy environment, whereas at present this percentage is less than 20% both in Karnataka and
If an objective study of costs V/S benefits of setting up a coal based power station is carried out, the direct and indirect costs to the society will be so heavy that the benefits will be tiny in comparison. Such analysis of costs V/S benefits in case of each coal based power station should be insisted for by the society for all future projects.
Sustainable alternatives
It is also amazing that many people in influential positions are advocating adding hugely to the generating capacity without even mentioning the potential impact of such additional capacity on social and environmental aspects of our densely populated society. Our society would do well to take a holistic look at the electricity needs of all sections of the society without ignoring other needs of the society such as clean air, water, agricultural and forest lands, right to live in one’s ancestral property without being forcibly evacuated etc. We have no other option but to take an "integrated energy resource management" approach which will include the highest possible operational efficiency of every asset, effective Demand Side Management, optimal energy conservation and wide spread use of new and renewable sources of energy.
An application of such a holistic approach, in a pilot study for Karnataka, has demonstrated that it is techno-economically feasible to meet fully the legitimate demand for electricity of all sections for next 10-15 years without having to add a single MW of generating capacity based on conventional energy sources. There is a huge potential available for our society in the areas of energy efficiency, Demand Side Management, energy conservation and wide spread use of new and renewable sources of energy. Being a tropical country,
Instead of dreaming to blindly emulate Chinese practice of adding huge capacity addition of coal power units, it is essential to address effectively the pathetically low efficiencies in the usage of our existing power infrastructure. If we objectively take into account the operational inefficiencies in generation, transmission, distribution and utilisation, the overall efficiency in the usage of the generated electricity for productive or developmental purposes is probably only about 50%, whereas at the international level it is known to be about 85 to 90%. With Aggregate T&D loss of about 33% and with about 40% loss in the agricultural pumping system (which itself is known to be consuming about 35% of all the electricity sold in the country) we can never hope to provide energy security to our masses without increasing the energy efficiency to a much higher level. With so much enthusiasm at various levels of the government to increase the generating capacity, it may even be possible to increase it by five times by 2031-32, as recommended by Planning Commission, but at a huge cost to the society. By that time our environment would have reached a point of no return.
It is pertinent to mention here that it is not inconceivable to meet most of our electricity needs without basing our policy on coal. A recent report by Earth Policy Institute,
Our society must take tough decisions such as taking stock of the situation in an objective manner, and adopting a holistic approach to the needs of various aspects of our society than just adding coal based power plants. The present generation has the obligation not to leave polluted rivers or barren agricultural lands or degraded forests or mountains of ash to the future generations just to meet our insatiable demand for electricity. The present generation will probably go down in the history of the mankind as being directly responsible either for saving the bio-diversity against so many odds or for leading to the destruction of human race.
Concluded
Views are those of the author
Author can be contacted at [email protected]
The Nuclear Illusion (part– II)
AMORY B. LOVINS AND IMRAN SHEIKH
Continued from Volume V, Issue No. 21…
D |
uring the nuclear revival now allegedly underway, no new nuclear project on earth has been financed by private risk capital,8 chosen by an open decision process, nor bid into the world’s innumerable power markets and auctions.9 No old nuclear plant has been resold at a value consistent with a market case for building a new one. And two strong global trends—greater transparency in governmental and energy decision-making, and wider use of competitive power markets—are further dimming nuclear prospects.
The Economist observed in 200110 that “Nuclear power, once claimed to be too cheap to meter, is now too costly to matter”—cheap to run but very expensive to build. Since then, it has become severalfold costlier still to build—and in a few years, as old fuel contracts expire, it is also expected to become severalfold costlier to run. As we’ll see, its total cost now markedly exceeds that of other common power plants (coal, gas, big wind farms), let alone the even cheaper competitors described below—cogeneration, some further renewables, and efficient end-use of electricity. Higher fossil-fuel prices since 2001 haven’t improved nuclear power’s economic case, for two reasons: its own costs have risen even more (its actual fossil-fuel competitors don’t include oil), and its formidable new competitors use little or no fossil fuel and generally exhibit falling, not rising, prices.
U.S. nuclear operators’ impressive success11 in improving reliability and performance (through experience, better management, ownership consolidation, shut-down lemons, and com-pliant regulation) have been unable to offset prohibitive capital costs. To deemphasize this hurdle, the industry emphasizes its low operating costs, often comparing the cost of just running plants already built with the total costs of building and operating other kinds of new plants. The term “generating costs” or “production costs,” widely used in such misleading comparisons, refers to bare operating costs without capital costs for construction or (usually) for major repairs.12
The nuclear industry has consistently underestimated its capital costs, often by large factors, and then claimed its next low forecasts will be accurate.13 Of 75 U.S. plants operating in 1986, the U.S. Energy Information Administration found two-year-cohort-average cost overruns of 209–381%.14 This bankrupted a New Hampshire utility. In the Northwest, the Washington Public Power Supply System (WPPSS) fiasco caused the biggest-ever U.S. municipal bond de-fault ($2.25 billion), saddled the Bonneville Power Administration with a $6-billion debt, and raised wholesale electric rates more than 500%. Seasoned investors still bear the scars. As Mark Twain remarked, a cat that sits on a hot stove lid will not do so again, but neither will it sit on a cold one. Yet some widely quoted recent studies claim new-nuclear costs will match or beat the lowest ever observed in the United States15—assuming standardization and construction stream-lining that so far are not actually occurring.16
The
The industry blames its
In June 2007, a Keystone Center study group22 sponsored by eleven organizations—nine of which sell, buy, or are allegedly about to buy nuclear plants—raised the MIT study’s nuclear cost estimates from 7.7–9.1¢/kWh (kilowatt-hour) to 8.3–11.1¢/kWh (all in 2007 $ at the power plant). This was mainly due to rapidly escalating capital costs, but the Keystone group also raised projected nuclear fuel costs, after current contracts expire in ~2012, by ~2–3× with open or ~2× with closed (reprocessing-based)23 fuel cycles, due to long-mismanaged uranium and enrichment activities.
At some sponsors’ insistence, the Keystone group studied nuclear costs in isolation and didn’t compare them with any alternative. Those have escalated too, though by less: in the three years ended 3Q2007, North American nominal construction costs for power plants surged 76%, to 2.31× year-2000 levels for all main types or 1.79× for non-nuclear types.24 But regardless of how non-nuclear plants fared, the Keystone new-nuclear busbar-cost estimate definitively rebuts 2–3×-lower industry claims: indeed, leading trade journal Nuclear Engineering International dryly remarked that the industry’s choice “to either focus on other aspects—in particular the ‘finding’ that nuclear is a viable option for dealing with climate change—or ignore the [Key-stone] report altogether” is “anomalous, and suggests a certain amount of discomfort with the findings.”25 For instance, the Nuclear Energy Institute continues deliberately to misrepresent the Keystone findings.26
Since the Keystone findings, new nuclear plants’ uniquely rapid capital-cost escalation, far from abating, has accelerated. The same top trade journal summarizes how the latest analyses, including one by Keystone coauthor Jim Harding (former director of strategic planning at Seattle City Light), have found the Keystone report’s lower cost range of $3,600/kW “no longer believable” and its upper range of $4,000/kW “probably low.”27 Harding’s estimate of total cur-rent construction costs (2007 $ including interest during construction) of ~$4,300–4,550/kW matches prospective customer Constellation’s published, then redacted, estimate of ~$4,300/kW.28 That’s slightly above Standard & Poor’s (S&P’s) May 200729 and American Electric Power’s August 2007 estimates of ~$4,000/kW, but well below Moody’s October 2007 estimate30 of ~$5,000–6,000/kW—which Moody’s called admittedly “only marginally better than a guess” but still solid grounds for caution.
Notes:
8 Some vendors and prospective buyers, however, have made relatively small internal preconstruction investments in design, licensing, or fees to reserve manufacturing slots for critical components.
9 P. Bradford, “Nuclear Power’s Prospects in the Power Markets of the 21st Century,” 2005,
10 Cover story, 19 May 2001.
11 Thanks to a market-driven combination of plant- and firm-level reforms and support by the
12 Much of the existing global nuclear fleet has incurred major maintenance costs, e.g., to replace corroded steam generator tubes. A common
13 P. Joskow (ref. 11): “Nobody has ever overestimated the construction cost of a nuclear power plant at the pre-construction stage.” Joskow also correctly notes that many industry cost estimates exclude certain “owner’s costs” such as engineering, land, insurance, spares, training, and licensing/regulation.
14 USEIA data summarized in www.neimagazine.com/journals/Power/NEI/November_2007/attachments/Table1.jpg, from M. Gielecki and J. Hewlett, Commercial Nuclear Power in the United States: Problems and Prospects, USEIA, 1994 (http://tonto.eia.doe.gov/ftproot/features/hewlett1.pdf). These “overnight costs,” a common conven-tion, exclude interest during construction or other owner’s costs, which can as much as double total construction costs. The authoritative analysis of the initial
15 J.G. Koomey and N. Hultman, “A Reactor-Level Analysis of Busbar Costs for
16 M. Wald, “Plan to Build Reactors Is Running Into Hurdles,” N.Y. Times, 5 Dec 2007, www.nytimes.com/2007/12/05/business/05nuke.html. So far, of three firms seeking U.S. licenses to build and run five reactors, one firm wants more than a dozen significant changes to a preapproved design, and two propose de-signs not yet finally approved. A fourth firm has ordered parts for a plant whose design isn’t yet even submitted to regulators. Regulators had hoped for just 2–3 standard designs, but there are already five with more on the way.
17 J. Cook, “Nuclear follies,” 11 Feb 1985.
18 A.B. Lovins, “The origins of the nuclear power fiasco,” pp. 7–34 in J. Byrne and D. Rich, eds., The Politics of Energy Research and Development, Energy Policy Studies, Vol. 3 (Transaction Books, New Brunswick / Oxford), 1986, RMI Publ. #E86-29.
19 Some industry observers emphasize logistical and political constraints that jeopardize any nuclear revival, e.g. at the 2007 American Nuclear Society meeting: “Nuclear Renaissance Faces Formidable Challenges,” Power Eng. Intl., Aug 2007, http://pepei.pennnet.com/display_article/303716/6/ARTCL/none/none/Nuclear-Renaissance-Faces-Formidable-Challenges/. Those constraints are real, but I think those of economics and financing are more basic.
20 As distinguished by industry and government projections that just quoted each other’s hopes, such as the World Nuclear Association’s “authoritative” claim of ~$1,000–1,500/kW twin-unit overnight costs (~2004 $) (“The New Economics of Nuclear Power,” Dec 2005, www.world-nuclear.org/reference/pdf/economics.pdf), or the 2004 Uni-versity of Chicago study, whose sketchy analysis of observed costs led it to project new-reactor power costs, in favorable regulatory regimes, at or below the lowest ever observed in the United States (Koomey and Hultman, ref. 15).
21 J. Deutsch and E. Moniz, eds., The Future of Nuclear Power, http://web.mit.edu/nuclearpower/. For lack of time and funding, the MIT study explicitly didn’t examine the non-central-station competitors compared here, and there-fore has no analytic basis for its “judgment” that nuclear power merits continued subsidy and support.
22 Nuclear Power Joint Fact-Finding, June 2007,
23 A concise summary of why reprocessing complicates waste management and nonproliferation is Gilinsky and Macfarlane’s dissent to the National Research Council’s Review of DOE’s Nuclear Energy Research and Development Program, 29 Oct 2007, http://books.nap.edu/catalog.php?record_id=11998.
24 Cambridge Energy Research Associates’ Power Capital Costs Index (PCCI, http://ihsindiexs.com/index.htm) is based on overnight costs for three overseas nuclear plants adjusted to U.S. factor costs, plus ten combined-cycle gas-fired units, nine coal, four gas-fired turbines, and four wind farms. Another estimate, from Table 3.1 in MIT’s 2007 study The Future of Coal, http://web.mit.edu/coal/, found 2004 busbar costs for new utility coal plants ~5¢/kWh (2007 $) but pegged 2004–07 real capital-cost escalation at ~25–30%. Some estimate 30–50%. Jim Harding’s Nov2007 NPEC-Carnegie speech suggests coal busbar costs ≥9¢/kWh, vs. ~12–15¢ nuclear, for plants ordered around the end of 2007.
25 “How much?” Nuclear Engineering Intl, 20 Nov. 2007, www.neimagazine.com/storyprint.asp?sc=2047917.
26 In summer 2007 I corresponded with the NEI’s President, retired Vice Admiral Skip Bowman and his VP of Communications, Scott Peterson. I pointed out that NEI’s press release’s headline falsely claimed that the study “affirms nuclear energy’s competitiveness in [a] climate-constrained world,” although the study made no economic comparison and the NEI press release says nothing about the study’s unfavorable cost findings. NEI admitted to me that its claim of competitiveness was only NEI’s opinion based on its own analyses—then refused to amend its re-lease, still up at www.nei.org/newsandevents/newsreleases/keystonecenterreportaffirmsnuclearenergyscompetitiveness/.
27 Quoted in Nucl.
28 Quoted in Nucl.
29 “Which Power Generation Technologies Will Take The Lead In Response To Carbon Controls?” S&P Viewpoint, 11 May 2007.
30 Moody’s Investors Service, “New Nuclear Generation in the
to be continued…
Courtesy: Rocky Mountain Institute (Ambio Nov 08 preprint, dr 18, 27 May 2008, DRAFT subject to further peer review/editing)
ORF NEWS DESK
OIL & GAS
RIL requests amendments to supply of MS & HSD in the domestic market
November 18, 2008. Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) has requested Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas (MoP&NG) for two regulatory prerequisites to enable release of products into domestic market from its EOU/SEZ refinery units. It requested the Ministry that domestic supplies of Motor Spirit (MS) and High Speed Diesel (HSD) to be counted as foreign exchange and secondly, the excise duties on the petroleum products from its EOU/SEZ refineries for domestic sale to be at par with Essar/MRPL refineries.
According to RIL’s estimates for October 08 to March 09 period, net foreign exchange earnings for its EOU refinery at
Shortage of Molasses in Uttar Pradesh
November 18, 2008. According to sources, expected production of Molasses in the state of Uttar Pradesh for the year 2008-09 is estimated at maximum 325 lakh Quintals. This amount includes 25 lakh quintals of exports to Uttaranchal. It is mainly used for production of Alcohol; a part of which in turn is used for ethanol requirements of the state for 5 percent Ethanol Blended Petrol (EBP) programme.
UAPBIDA, which represents the Alcohol based Chemical Industries in Uttar Pradesh, has requested to Government of Uttar Pradesh to ban Molasses/Alcohol export outside the state as most of the Alcohol based chemical units are either closed or are operating partially due to shortage of molasses.
UNSD-INEGI Workshop on Energy Statistics
November 18, 2008. United Nations Statistics Division (UNSD) is organizing an International Workshop on Energy Statistics, jointly with the National Institute of Statistics, Geography and Informatics (INEGI) of
The main objectives of the Workshop are to train participants on current methods and practices in energy statistics; review and discuss issues they face in the collection, compilation and dissemination of energy statistics; and to contribute to the development of international recommendation for energy statistics.
The United Nations Statistical Commission (UNSC) recommended development of energy statistics as part of official statistics and called for revision and further development of the relevant international standards. To implement this decision, the UNSD in cooperation with the Oslo Group on Energy Statistics and the Inter-Secretariat Working Group on Energy Statistics have embarked in the preparation of IRES.
IRES is intended to cover a broad range of issues from basic concepts, definitions and classifications to data sources, data compilation strategies, energy balances and dissemination. Once approved by the Commission, IRES will provide a firm foundation for a long-term development of energy statistics based on the Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics.
BPCL’s additional HSD requirements from RIL refinery
November 18, 2008. Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited (BPCL) informed Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas (MoP&NG) that its additional HSD requirements over and above the quantities firmed through domestic sources/imports already tied up are 1.05 million tones.
(in TMT) |
E3 HSD |
BS2 + HF HSD |
Total |
Dec-08 |
20 |
100 |
120 |
Jan-08 |
70 |
240 |
310 |
Feb-08 |
70 |
230 |
300 |
Mar-08 |
80 |
240 |
320 |
Total |
240 |
810 |
1050 |
Compiled by
NEWS BRIEF
NATIONAL
OIL & GAS
Upstream
OVL snaps up 2 exploration blocks in Colombia
November 18, 2008. ONGC's wholly-owned subsidiary ONGC Videsh Ltd. (OVL) has bagged two blocks in
I-T Dept shelves move to tax ONGC
November 18, 2008. A move by the Income-Tax Department to levy additional tax on ONGC for giving huge subsidies to the oil marketing companies (OMCs) has been shelved. Last year, ONGC paid a subsidy of Rs 22,000 crore ($4.42 bn). During the last two quarters in the current fiscal, it has already paid a whopping subsidy of Rs 22,474 crore ($4.52 bn) to the OMCs. ONGC, plea that subsidy discounts reflect heavily on the company’s revenue, reducing the corporate tax paid. On the other hand, subsidy reduces input material cost of OMCs’ profit and in turn increases corporate tax there. ONGC is the biggest taxpayer in Uttarakhand. This year, it paid a tax of over Rs 8,000 crore ($1.6 bn). Nearly 90 per cent of the tax revenue collected in Uttarakhand comes from ONGC.
Oil sector officers threaten indefinite strike
November 15, 2008. Oil Sector Officers Association (OSOA), representing around 50,000 executives of the 14 public sector oil companies has threatened an indefinite strike to press for pay revision. The oil companies together will stand to lose around Rs 1,125 crore ($230.67 mn) a day in terms of revenue because of the strike which would lead to cut in production and the Centre would lose more than Rs 100 crore ($20.5 mn) in excise duty a day. In the upstream, the loss of revenue on account of loss of crude production, sale of gas and value added products will be to the tune of Rs 183 crore ($37.52 mn) a day for ONGC alone and more than Rs 225 crore ($46.13 mn) a day in all. In the downstream, the revenue loss is likely to be around Rs 600 crore ($123 mn) a day for IOC alone and more than Rs 900 crore ($184.53 mn) for all the oil marketing companies together.
OSOA demands include bringing all oil sector PSUs under the A+ category, introduction of open-ended scale, removal of 50 per cent ceiling on perks and allowances, five year periodicity and the same annual and promotional increment levels of four and six per cent respectively. The Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has agreed to the demands made by the officers association and has recommended the same to the Department of Public Enterprises for consideration.
ONGC Videsh and IPR Red Sea make second oil discovery in
November 14, 2008. ONGC Videsh Ltd., the overseas arm of Oil & Natural Gas Corp. (ONGC), and IPR Energy Red Sea Inc. have made a second oil discovery in the Gulf of Suez, off
GSPC-Essar to invest $8 mn in Indonesian block
November 14, 2008. State owned Gujarat State Petroleum Corporation has bagged an onshore block in
ONGC Videsh to bid for Imperial in three weeks
November 12, 2008. ONGC, Videsh will bid for
ONGC had on August 26 agreed to buy Imperial for 1,250 pence per share, taking the valuation of the company to 1.4 bn. Oil prices at that time were around $120 per barrel and have since dropped to below $60 per barrel. OVL has been granted approval in respect of the ownership of Russian entities by entities controlled by a foreign government. On the above basis, OVL confirms that both of the pre-conditions to the offer have been satisfied. On September 5, ONGC had applied to two Russian government agencies for approval of the deal. Another government commission approved the ownership of Russian entities by entities controlled by a foreign government. This acquisition, once completed, would be ONGC’s biggest buyout of an overseas oil company.
At present, ONGC has 36 oil and oil assets in 16 countries. It also owns 20 per cent in the Sakhalin-I oil and gas project in
RIL mulls reopening of fuel outlets
November 18, 2008. Reliance Industries may reopen domestic retail outlets to sell petrol and diesel following the decline in global oil prices. Reliance is also seeking to sell diesel from its export-oriented refinery at
L&T wins major refinery order
November 17, 2008. Larsen & Toubro has secured a major order valued over Rs. 700 crores ($142.27 mn) from HPCL-Mittal Energy Limited (HMEL), a joint venture of Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Limited and Mittal Energy Investments. The project order involves setting up two 44000 TPA capacity Hydrogen Generation Units (HGU) for HMEL's grassroots refinery in Bathinda,
Denmark-based Haldor Topsoe has been selected by HMEL as the process licensor. L&T's scope of work includes residual process design, detailed engineering, procurement, supply, transportation, storage, fabrication, inspection, construction, installation, testing, mechanical completion, pre-commissioning and commissioning. Secured against competition from global EPC contractors, the HMEL order augments L&T's long track record in the mid and downstream hydrocarbon sector. The refineries in
Public sector oil firms make profit on petrol, diesel sales
November 16, 2008. Public sector oil companies have for the first time in more than a year started making profit on sales of petrol and diesel, strengthening the case for a fuel price cut soon. But the oil companies do not want to reduce prices now as they continue to lose Rs 82 crore ($16.8 mn) per day on PDS kerosene and domestic LPG. Indian Oil, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum, who started making profit on sales of petrol from November 1, have now broken even on diesel sales. With international crude oil prices sliding further on falling demand as major economies slow down, the three firms are making a net 70 paise per litre profit on sales of diesel while they earn Rs 9.86 per litre extra on selling petrol above the imported cost.
Based on the average international oil prices in the first fortnight of November, the state-run firms are earning a margin of Rs 16 crore ($3.27 mn) per day on petrol and Rs 5 crore ($1 mn) a day on diesel. However, they continue to lose on kerosene sold through ration shops and domestic LPG. Kerosene is being sold at a loss of Rs 22.40 a litre and LPG at Rs 343.49 per cylinder. The fall in international oil prices will result in lower revenue loss on fuel sales this fiscal. IOC, BPCL and HPCL will end the 2008-09 fiscal with Rs 122,710 crore ($25.15 bn) revenue loss, Rs 92,853 crore ($19 bn) of which has already been accounted for in the first half of the fiscal. It is good news that oil companies have started to make profits. The profit being earned on petrol and diesel will not be enough to wipe out the net losses the three firms reported in the second quarter ended September 30, 2008. The government compensates the three refiners for half of their revenue loss on fuel sales by way of oil bonds. Another one-third of the losses are met by companies like ONGC and OIL by way of discounts on crude oil they sell to them.
Transportation / Trade
Aviation fuel turns cheaper than petrol
November 18, 2008. Aviation turbine fuel (ATF) used by airlines has become much cheaper than the price you pay for petrol. While the ATF price has dropped from Rs 73.67 per litre to Rs 40.69 in the past four months, the price of petrol had gone up by Rs 5 and is available at Rs 55.07 in Mumbai. Interestingly, the ATF price was reduced by the petroleum ministry (MoP&NG) on five separate occasions between August 1 and November 16. State-run oil companies cut aviation turbine fuel prices by over 12 per cent or Rs 5,580 per kilolitre in line with fall in international oil prices. With this reduction, the ATF or jet fuel prices are at par with levels that prevailed in September 2007. Prices have been lowered further because oil companies have now shifted to fixing rates in every 15 days instead of the previous practice of revising the prices based on average oil price in the preceding month.
Iran scraps agreement to sale LNG to India
November 17, 2008.
Oil firms’ stocks gain as crude slides
November 17, 2008. Shares of public sector oil marketing companies were traded higher in line with the drop in crude oil prices, and the Prime Minister's remarks last week that fuel prices will not be slashed till public sector oil companies start making profits again on sale of petroleum products. The state-run oil marketing companies have been incurring heavy losses over the past few quarters as crude oil surged to an all-time high of $147 per barrel in mid-July and the Government capped the retail fuel prices to reign in inflation. Crude oil for December delivery dropped as much as $1.44, or 2.5 percent, to $55.60 a barrel in after-hours electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. BPCL was up 3% at Rs 321.55.
Oil firms raise prices of commercial LPG
November 16, 2008. At a time when prices of petroleum products have fallen, oil marketing companies (OMCs) have increased prices of commercial liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) by 1.21 per cent in November as global prices of the fuel have gone up ahead of the higher winter demand. International LPG prices in October were marginally higher compared with September. Prices of this fuel generally rise as winter approaches. LPG is a combination of butane and propane gases. During winter, the demand for propane, which is used for heating purposes in the
Commercial LPG is not subsidised and the oil companies revise their prices in line with international prices on the first of every month. The oil companies have taken an internal decision to keep auto LPG prices lower than petrol prices in order to make it competitive. It is more of a promotional strategy. Auto LPG prices on November 1 were revised to Rs 34.38 per litre from Rs 36.32 on October 1. An economic slowdown across the world has resulted in demand for fuels come down leading to increase in inventories. This has driven down prices of all fuels from petrol to diesel and naphtha.
India to take up TII pipeline issue with Turkish Prime Minister
November 14, 2008. Turkey-Israel-India (TII) pipeline proposal would figure during the Turkish Prime Minister, Mr Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s talks with the Prime Minister, Dr Manmohan Singh.
Policy / Performance
Goods carriers want diesel price lowered
November 17, 2008. The All-India Confederation of Goods Owners’ Association has urged the Union Government to reduce the diesel price immediately, more so when the price of aviation turbine fuel is being systematically reduced. The movement of goods vehicles throughout the country would come to a halt if the Government failed to take decision on the reduction of the diesel price soon. The fuel cost accounted for around 55 per cent of the airlines’ operational cost while diesel accounted for 70 per cent of the operating cost of the commercial vehicles. As per the Association, besides, the airlines enjoyed credit facility from the public sector oil companies while the operators of commercial vehicles must buy diesel in cash. The last diesel price hike of Rs 3/litre came into force from the first week of June this year when the crude price was as high as $147/barrel. It said that the crude price has since dropped to around $55/barrel but with no consequent cut in diesel price despite assurance from the Government that a reduction would be considered once the crude price came down to $67/barrel.
Government claims final say in Krishna
November 15, 2008. The Union government filed a fresh affidavit in the Bombay High Court, which is hearing a dispute over supply of gas from Krishna Godavari (KG) basin, stating that any sale price less than $ 4.2 per mmBtu is not compatible with decisions taken by a ministerial panel. The affidavit also states that selling price should be determined based on arm’s length concept- where transaction is conducted purely on commercial terms.
Further, it stated the formula under which the price is determined have to be mandatorily approved by the Government of India prior to the sale of gas. The government in the affidavit said if the interim stay on sale of gas from KG basin is vacated, the allocation will be based on the gas allocation policy laid out by empowered group of ministers (EGoM).
As per the allocation policy, fertiliser plants will have the first claim followed by idle power plants and city gas distribution in that order. The Bombay High Court had asked the Government of India counsel to file a fresh affidavit making a categorical statement on the pricing of gas and explaining why gas pricing is binding on all. The price of gas is the most contentious issue in the court battle.
Mukesh Ambani-controlled Reliance Industries (RIL) and Anil Ambani's Reliance Natural Resources (RNRL) are involved in a legal battle over the gas supply master agreement, whereby RIL is to supply natural gas to RNRL for its power plants. The government of
Indian crude basket likely to fall below $50 a barrel
November 13, 2008. The Indian crude basket is expected to be in the range of $48-50 a barrel on in sync with the dip in global prices. The last time Indian basket had dipped below $50 was in early 2005. This dip has led to the expectation that the Government may consider reducing the prices of auto and cooking fuels.
The continued volatility in currency rates and international crude oil prices, however, makes it difficult for the Government to consider a price cut on the retail front at this juncture. The Prime Minister has also said so. The Government caps the retail selling price of petrol, diesel, kerosene and LPG. This has led to public sector oil marketing companies (OMCs) incurring a revenue loss of Rs 14,000 crore ($2.84 bn) in the first six months of the current fiscal.
However, the under-recovery for the full fiscal is expected to be Rs 1,14,000 crore ($23.19 bn), from the earlier estimate of Rs 1,28,135 crore ($26 bn). When crude prices were at $147 a barrel, it was estimated that the loss would be Rs 2,50,000 crore ($50.87 bn). If crude remains at $55-57 a barrel range and the rupee appreciates to around Rs 41 and stays there for some time, then perhaps, in December the companies could make marginal profit on sale of all four products.
But this still would not be enough to wipe out the losses already booked in the first and second quarter of the fiscal. For the first fortnight of November the companies are expected to make a marginal profit from diesel sale if crude continues at the current level. Currently, the OMCs are incurring a revenue loss on sale of diesel, LPG, and kerosene. They are losing Rs 0.96 a litre on diesel, Rs 22.40 a litre on kerosene and Rs 343.49 a cylinder on LPG. They are making a profit of Rs 4.12 a litre on petrol. Besides, the gains from fall in crude prices have been offset by depreciation of rupee. The OMCs, which are integrated refining-cum-marketing entities, are processing crude that has been bought at $75-80 a barrel, thus leading to inventory losses and a dip in the gross refining margins.
POWER
Generation
BHEL gets $266 mn order
November 18, 2008. Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL) has secured a Rs 1,325 crore ($266.49 mn) order from Andhra Pradesh Power Generation Corporation (APGenco) for setting up a 600 MW thermal power generating unit at Kakatiya Thermal Power (Project Stage-II) at Bhoopalapally in Warangal district of Andhra Pradesh.
The scope of work in the contract includes design, engineering, manufacture, supply, erection and commissioning of steam turbines, generators, boilers, associated auxiliaries and electricals, besides state-of-the-art controls and instrumentation. The unit is slated for synchronisation in the next 42 months. APGenco had placed a similar order with BHEL for setting up a 500 MW thermal power generating unit at the Stage-I of the same power station.
Lanco Infra sole bidder for Rajpura power plant
November 14, 2008. Lanco Infratech has emerged the sole bidder in the competitive bidding process for the development of a 1,320 MW coal-based power plant at Rajpura in
Those in the contention initially included Reliance Power, Tata Power, Essar and Sterlite. It is for the Punjab Government to take a call on award of the project to Lanco. The matter has been referred to the State Electricity Regulatory Authority for its decision. A special purpose vehicle created by the Punjab State Electricity Board will provide all the necessary clearances for the project and also facilitate coal linkages from domestic coal mining companies.
GMR Infra to relocate power plant in AP
November 12, 2008. GMR Infrastructure Ltd has announced that the GMR Energy Ltd (GEL), the Company's 100% subsidiary Company, having 220 MW power plant at Mangalore, has deferred its plan of relocating the barge mounted power plant to
Transmission / Distribution / Trade
ADB supports energy conservation fund for Madhya Pradesh
November 14, 2008. The Asian Development Bank (ADB) is to help set up a fund that will mobilize financing for energy efficiency projects in Madhya Pradesh. The planned Energy Conservation Fund (ECF) will complement an ongoing ADB investment program in Madhya Pradesh’s power sector which is focused on reducing the gap between power supply and demand, and improving efficiency in transmission and distribution. ADB will provide a $1.7 mn technical assistance through the Second Danish Cooperation Fund for Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency in Rural Areas.
The government of Madhya Pradesh will contribute an equivalent of $400,000. The technical assistance will support the ECF by financing the initial operational expenditures. The ECF will be used to implement programs through technical and financial assistance, benefiting all stakeholders including the Government of Madhya Pradesh, power sector companies, and consumers. The Energy Conservation Fund will facilitate the financing of revenue-generating energy efficiency projects implemented by public and private sector entities and it will develop a modality that could be replicated in other states of
The sustained support for the ECF in its start-up years will encourage interest from commercial banks and other private financial institutions which are typically reluctant to finance energy efficiency projects mainly because of the requirement of collateral security for loans. The potential for energy savings in
Bihar Electricity Board seeks additional power from Centre
November 14, 2008. With the state facing severe power crisis due to fall in generation at hydel power stations and coal supply, the Bihar State Electricity Board (BSEB) has made a fervent plea to the Union power ministry for allocating an additional 300 MW of power to
As a result, the state’s joint venture plant, Kanti Vidyut Utpadan Nigam Limited has not been generating power on a regular basis. However, frequent breakdown of power plants have also hit power generation in the state. The availability of power from the Tala and Chukkha hydel power plants from November have fallen and a situation similar to the last year is apprehended.
Bihar had faced a serious power crisis last year from October to March due to fall in generation from Tala and Chukkha hydel power plants. The situation aggravated further due to withdrawal of equal allocation from the Kahalgaon Super Thermal Power Plant. The power crisis led to mass protests and the situation in Kahalgaon went out of control leading to police firing on agitators.
Unscheduled power cuts for 12 hours in villages, two hours in
November 13, 2008. People in
The single-phase power supply will be during the night. While only two hours of the three-phase power supply will be available during the day, the remaining four hours will be at night, at any time between midnight and the early hours. In
Industries and commercial consumers in Bangalore will bear the brunt for two hours between 10 a.m. and 6 p.m. Outside of Bangalore, other urban areas under the power company’s jurisdiction will face four-hour power cuts daily. This crisis is mainly due to the sharp increase in the demand for power and the failure to boost generation capacity. The demand is said to have grown at the rate of 15 per cent to 20 per cent of late.
The State’s generation capacity from all sources is 8,425 MW. But the shortage itself is in the range of 1,500 MW to 1,700 MW during the normal period when all the generating units are working. This translates to a shortage of 15 million units to 20 million units a day. But in real terms, the shortage is greater as the State is not getting its full quota of power from the central generating stations, especially the nuclear and gas-based plants, which have been underperforming because of uranium and gas shortage. This has resulted in reduction in the availability of power by about 400 MW.
TN chamber pleads for priority to streamlining power distribution
November 12, 2008. According to Tamilnadu Chamber of Commerce and Industries, State Government of Tamil Nadu must accord top priority to 24-hour power supply unmindful of cost to prevent a breakdown of the economy. The chamber is afraid that the number of public welfare schemes implemented by the Tamil Nadu Government would be of no avail if the Government does not set right the immense production deceleration, loss of employment and price escalation caused by the present unprecedented power shortage in the State.
Though the scheme for granting subsidy for small and medium industries to purchase generators is praiseworthy, with the cost being as high as Rs 12 per unit, the chamber has expressed its scepticism over the scheme producing the desired result. Large industrial units possessing high-power diesel generators and keeping them idle should be motivated to generate power by ensuring supply of adequate diesel and the Tamil Nadu Electricity Board should procure power produced by them at cost price and supply it to the industrial sector.
The temporary permission of third party sale by private power producers should be made a permanent policy and they should be allowed to sell power to those having 100 KW connected load so that the benefit accrues to small and medium industries.
Power up cash, electric gear companies tell Finance Ministry
November 18, 2008. Manufacturers of power equipment have urged the Finance Ministry to fast-track spending on electricity generation, which would stimulate growth in the power sector as well as in the overall economy. The government needs to push public sector power companies like National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC) and National Hydel Power Corporation to place orders for power equipment at the earliest. This would go a long way in supporting the equipment makers who are fighting a slow down. There are a total of 17 power projects projected to add 20,000 mw over the next few years, for which equipment orders are set to be placed.
Growth in electricity generation had been dismally low in the previous few months, particularly in August when it fell below 1%, before picking up in September. In the first half of the current fiscal, power generation grew by 2.5%, way below the 7.7% recorded in the same period a year ago. NTPC should immediately invite tenders for bulk purchase of equipment for all the projects in the pipeline. Increased government spending would give stimulus to the economy.
India to help
November 18, 2008.
With
Dabhol may retain LNG terminal
November 18, 2008. The government may allow the two promoters of Ratnagiri Gas & Power Pvt Ltd (RGPPL, erstwhile Dabhol Power), GAIL India and NTPC, to keep 5 mtpa LNG terminal as an integral part of the 1,850 MW power project. It may accept the two promoters’ demand to treat the terminal as a profit centre on the condition that about 2.9 mtpa surplus capacity of the terminal would be used by third parties for a fee. The two promoters had threatened to walk out from the project if the terminal was hived off and sold to a third party. The LNG plant has a total capacity of 5 mtpa, while the power project would require a maximum of 2.1 mtpa at any given point of time. The balance capacity would be available for use by third parties.
Earlier, the government had proposed to hive off this terminal to a third party so that funds from the sale could be used for wiping off the company’s rising debt obligation. The hive off plan now seems to have been shelved in the interest of the promoting companies. A formal decision, however, would be taken after the meeting of empowered group of ministers (EGoM) later this month.
A committee of secretaries has already discussed the proposal. One of the promoters has suggested that RGPPL retains control over the LNG terminal and use it as a profit centre offering services to third parties to meet their regasification needs on paying an agreed toll. This seems to be an acceptable solution. The change in the government’s position has come due to a strong stand taken by both NTPC and GAIL.
The two promoters threatened to divest out of the project if government went ahead with its plan on hiving off the LNG terminal. NTPC and GAIL, who have the right of first refusal on the sale of the terminal, believe that the LNG plant is an integral part of the power project and selling it off would upset the revenue structures for the project. The revival cost of the project has escalated and the government wants the promoters to put in more equity to salvage the project. From less than Rs 10,000 crore ($2 bn), the completion cost of the 2,150 MW power project has now crossed over Rs 20,000 crore ($4 bn).
‘Gains must accrue to consumers’: CERC
November 15, 2008. According to Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC), the financial gains made by power distribution licensees from better performance compared to the norms set by the Regulatory Commissions should be shared with the consumers every year. The Commission is of the view that two -third of such financial gains should be accrued to the distribution licensees and the remaining one-third passed on to the consumers.
The Commission said that the distribution licensees will have to bear a penalty in the form of reduction on their return on equity if they fail to ensure the availability of distribution network as per the norms. This will also be applicable if distribution licensees fail to contract power generation capacity for meeting the projected demand of the consumers.
Dutch firm wants hearing over controversial project deferred
November 15, 2008. Dutch power major Brakel Corp, which wants the Himachal Pradesh government's green signal to save a controversial hydropower project allotted to it, asked the government to postpone its personal hearing over the project to next week. The state cabinet at its meeting November 3 decided to grant a personal hearing to the company to rectify the alleged financial and technical misrepresentation of the Rs 40 bn Thopan-Powari-Jangi hydropower project in Kinnaur district.
The government also set up a high-level seven-member committee, headed by Chief Secretary Asha Swaroop, to review the case. It (Brakel) sent a missive to the panel, demanding deferment of the personal hearing till November 19 and reconstitution of the review committee. The company has raised objections to the inclusion of Principal Power Secretary Ajay Mittal in the review panel.
Earlier this month, Mittal recommended to scrap the project, mired by allegations of financial and technical incompetence, and forfeit an upfront payment of Rs1.95 bn that the company had deposited with the government. The project was allotted to Brakel in 2006 by the then Congress government.
Andhra may get $1.6 bn for power reforms
November 15, 2008. The Centre is likely to provide a grant of Rs 8,000 crore ($1.64 bn) to Andhra Pradesh under the Accelerated Power Development Reforms Programme (APDRP) during the Eleventh Plan. The state will submit a detailed project report to the Centre in this regard in December. The Rs 51,577-crore ($10.57 bn) APDRP project aims at bringing down transmission and distribution losses to less than 15 per cent and will cover towns with a population of over 30,000. About 142 towns in the state would be eligible for the scheme.
Under this, baseline data and IT applications for energy accounting would be set up besides modernising and strengthening 11 kv level substations, separating transformers from feeders and agricultural loads from mixed feeders, and replacing old meters. Initially, 50 per cent of the project cost would be provided as grant and the remaining as loan, which could be converted into a grant based on specified targets achieved. Investments incurred by the distribution companies on IT initiatives during 2007-08 and 2008-09 would be reimbursed.
Satluj begins hydropower project survey in
November 14, 2008. Indian public sector hydropower undertaking Satluj Jal Vidyut Nigam has kicked off survey on a coveted 402 MW project in north
Power-starved
The state-run Nepal Electricity Authority (NEA) has warned that power outages would go up to around 14 hours daily, which has alarmed industries. The crisis has also been aggravated by a flood in south
Though NEA signed an agreement with
Residents of Sankhuwasabha and neighbouring Bhojpur districts have formed the Arun III Stakeholders Group, which is demanding development projects, jobs and land. They have submitted an eight-point charter of demands to the Indian company as well as
Bids for Tilaiya mega power project soon
November 14, 2008. By the end of November, bids for the fourth ultra mega power project (UMPP) at Tilaiaya in Jharkhand will be invited. The three UMPPs, which have been awarded, the Mundra power plant, now under development by Tata Power, is at an advanced stage of implementation and has made progress and has ordered for equipment. The other two plants at Sasan and Krishnapatnam, won by Reliance Power are at different stages.
While the Sasan unit is in the process of finalising plans, the Krishnapatnam has gone a step ahead and has chosen Shanghai Electric for supply of equipment. Apart from these projects, UMPPs are being proposed at Orissa, Tamil Nadu and Karnataka. In addition, the Power Ministry has received another proposal for an UMPP in Andhra Pradesh. The Union Minister would like more public enterprises to take part in large UMPPs.
Obama, supporter of Indo-US nuke deal
November 14, 2008. The US President-elect, Mr Barack Obama, is a keen supporter of the civil nuclear agreement with
The
Both the national governments are continuing the process of putting into place the new Section 123 US-India Agreement for Civil Nuclear Cooperation. In the meantime, both the
NMDC, West Bengal Mineral Development & Trading Corporation to join hands
November 12, 2008. The West Bengal government will shortly sign a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with India’s diversified mineral resource company NMDC for exploration and development of one of the largest non-coking coal sites having reserves in excess of 2 bt. The coal block would be jointly held by NMDC and West Bengal Mineral Development & Trading Corporation (WBMDTC) in equal partnership.
12 companies interested in reopening mines of Coal
November 12, 2008. Twelve companies, including a host of national and international majors, expressed interest in re-opening underground mines in a 50:50 joint venture with Coal India Limited (CIL). Among the parties expressing interest are global steel and mining majors ArcelorMittal, Rio Tinto and Titan Mining (
CIL has identified 18 abandoned mines located in
According to the conditions set by CIL, the production of reopened mines should be sold to Coal
Earlier this year, ArcelorMittal and Ispat group approached CIL with joint venture proposals for exploring the opportunity of re-development of abandoned mines on nomination basis. CIL avoided striking deals on nomination basis but saw an opportunity of making its closed assets especially the coking coal assets operational through such private participation. The company initially decided to invite EoIs for redeveloping 26 closed mines. The number was later reduced to 18.
INTERNATIONAL
OIL & GAS
Upstream
Chevron shuts-in 90,000 bpd at Nigerian Joint Venture
November 18, 2008. According to
Delta state is one of three main states in the Niger Delta, a network of mangrove creeks which are home to
Armed youths blew up the Abiteye-Olero pipeline in June, forcing Chevron to cut around 120,000 bpd for nearly a month. Chevron operates onshore in
Qatar Petroleum, Wintershall ink EPSA for offshore Qatar Block
November 17, 2008. On behalf of the Government of the State of Qatar, Qatar Petroleum has signed an Exploration and Production Sharing Agreement (EPSA) for Qatar Offshore Block-4North (Khuff) with Wintershall Holding AG (German Company). This new agreement is part of QP's plans to implement the wise policy and guidance of H.H. The Emir, Sheikh Hamad Bin Khalifa Al-Thani to increase the country’s hydrocarbon reserves base, oil and gas production potential and firm up
The signing ceremony was also attended by senior officials of Qatar Petroleum and Wintershall Holding AG. The Block-4North (Khuff) Area is located north of
During the Exploration Period, Wintershall Holding AG will implement a work program comprising of technical studies, 2D & 3D seismic acquisition, processing, re-processing and interpretation and drilling of exploration wells to Khuff Formation. Pending the results, hydrocarbon development will be carried out. All relevant operations and studies will be conducted with QP supervision and support.
Saxon receives new field designation for
November 17, 2008. Saxon has received a new field designation from
The Eumont well continues to flow oil at rates exceeding 150 BOPD on a 16/64-inch choke and cumulative oil production has surpassed 30,000 barrels of oil. To optimize ultimate oil recovery, the operator has elected not to increase the flow rate to the allowable limit at this time. The operator does plan to drill at least one offset well on an adjacent proration unit in the first quarter 2009. Saxon owns a 15% working interest and a 12.5% net revenue interest in this well and offset locations.
Sterling unlocks oil at UK North Sea's Bowstring East
November 17, 2008. Sterling has announced the successful drilling of the Cladhan well located on the Bowstring East Prospect, Block 210/29a, in the United Kingdom North Sea.
Although the well will not be flow tested, an extensive pressure test measurement program and the collection of oil samples through a Modular Formation Tester (MDT) logging tool, suggest good reservoir mobility and therefore promising productive potential. The well will be suspended providing the group the option to re-enter, side-track, flow test, at a later date, once the data-set collected has been evaluated for potential resource size and commercial options. Its immediate plan is to integrate the well results with the seismic data and to determine the size of the oil accumulation before submitting our appraisal strategy.
Sterling bags 2
November 13, 2008. Sterling has been successful in the
NPD averages petroleum production from Norwegian continental shelf
November 13, 2008. The Norwegian Petroleum Directorate noted that the average daily production was about 2,003,000 barrels of oil, about 165,000 barrels of NGL (Natural Gas Liquids) and about 54,000 barrels of condensate, a total of 2,222,000 barrels of liquid on the Norwegian continental shelf. In September 17.0 million standard cubic meters of oil equivalents were produced. This is 1.1 million standard cubic meters of oil equivalents less than in September 2007.
The average daily production has been about 2.1 million barrels of oil and a total of about 2.4 million barrels of liquid. The total production is about 176.7 million standard cubic meters of oil equivalents. This is 2.4 million standard cubic meters of oil equivalents higher than in the same period last year. Preliminary production figures for October 2008 show an average daily production of about 2.205 million barrels of oil and 0.321 million barrels of NGL and condensate.
Downstream
Fort hills could link to
November 17, 2008. Petro-Canada (PCZ) could channel the oil sands production from its Fort Hills oil sands development to its
But delaying or even canceling the costly facility could have a major impact on the project's economics. The oil sands mine is set to produce 160,000 barrels of bitumen a day and the upgrader would have processed this low-grade output into a lighter, more valuable crude.
The company had just completed a C$2.5 bn conversion project to install a coker at its 135,000 barrel-a-day
Foster Wheeler snags
November 15, 2008. Foster Wheeler Ltd.’s two of its subsidiaries, Foster Wheeler USA Corporation and Process Consultants, Inc., part of its Global Engineering and Construction Group, has been awarded a front-end engineering design (FEED) and project management consultancy (PMC) contract by Ecopetrol
The full PMC scope will not be booked until the project is approved to proceed into the engineering, procurement and construction phase. The project will increase refining capacity from 250,000 barrels per stream day (BPSD) to 300,000 BPSD, add heavy crude processing capability, and provide a processing configuration to meet the projected 2013 Colombian clean fuels product specifications.
The scope includes the following new units: a crude unit, delayed coker, hydrocracker unit, coker naphtha hydrotreating unit, hydrogen unit, sour water strippers, amine regeneration unit, and sulfur recovery unit, plus associated utilities and offsite units. The project will also include revamps to the diesel hydrotreater, gasoline hydrotreater and dismantling of two existing atmospheric and vacuum distillation units.
In addition, the contract includes the procurement of long-lead items. Foster Wheeler Ltd. is a global engineering and construction contractor and power equipment supplier delivering technically advanced, reliable facilities and equipment. The company employs over 14,000 talented professionals with specialized expertise dedicated to serving our clients through one of its two primary business groups.
The company's Global Engineering & Construction Group designs and constructs leading-edge processing facilities for the upstream oil and gas, LNG and gas-to-liquids, refining, chemicals and petrochemicals, power, environmental, pharmaceuticals, biotechnology and healthcare industries.
Ryazan oil refinery commences Euro-5 diesel production
November 13, 2008. Ryazan Oil Refinery Company, a closed joint-stock company incorporated in TNK-BP, started output of diesel fuel of class Euro-5 with a sulfur content of no more than 10 ppm. According to TNK-BP, this fuel meets the latest worldwide ecological standards. This product was first put out on October 7, and the first lot was supplied to customers on October 16. A total of 85,000 tons of this new diesel fuel was produced in October 2008, and 144,000 tons will be produced in November. Implementation of the project for reconstruction and upgrade of production facilities for production of diesel fuel with improved ecological characteristics began a little more than a year ago. Investments into this project amounted to approximately $50 mn.
Transportation / Trade
Turkey's $12 bn
November 18, 2008. Turkish Energy Minister Hilmi Guler anticipated that
Iran and
BTC oil pipeline to pump more in December
November 17, 2008. The BP-led Baku Ceyhan oil pipeline is expected to pump around 780,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December, up sharply from November. December shipments are scheduled to total 24.2 million barrels, according to a copy of the loading schedule.
In November, the pipeline was expected to pump about 455,000 bpd. The volume is up because Tengiz crude has been added to the flow of Azeri Light oil and production of Azeri crude was expected to be higher in December after production problems earlier in the year. Output was reduced after some Azeri production was shut down in September following a gas leak at the Azeri-Chirag-Guneshli group of fields in the
Nigeria oil spill caused by Sabotage
November 13, 2008. Saboteurs used a hack-saw to cut through a Royal Dutch Shell oil pipeline in southern
They determined that the spill was caused by sabotage. There was a hack-saw on the delivery line. It was not clear who was behind the attack. The same line was sabotaged nine times between January and June this year. Last year, it was sabotaged 10 times.
Shell, formerly
Crime and militancy are intertwined in the Niger Delta, which pumps nearly all of the oil output from the world's eighth biggest crude exporter.
Junggar gas pipeline network starts up operation onshore China
November 13, 2008. In early November, the gas pipeline network around
It is predicted that the pipeline network will satisfy the need for gas deliverability of the basin in the next 10 years. The
Policy / Performance
Russian oil firms may cut output if unprofitable
November 18, 2008. The world is heading toward a sharp deficit of oil production capacity and Russian companies could cut output and exports should they become unprofitable. Oil companies should decide themselves. Almost all OPEC members probably with the exception of
Russia heavily depends on oil revenues to fund its budget needs including high social spending, support stability of the national currency and help its firms refinance heavy foreign debts.
Russian private oil producer LUKOIL has called on the government to join OPEC and its oil output cuts, but government officials have said the country would maintain independent policies. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries meets in the Egyptian capital
Court ruling Jeopardizes Egypt's natural gas deliveries to Israel
November 18, 2008. An Egyptian administrative court earlier this week overruled a government decision to allow natural gas exports to
They also oppose the exports because of the low price
Israel and
NEB okays Westcoast South Peace Pipeline Project
November 18, 2008.
The new 508 mm (20 inch) diameter pipeline would carry gas from the area south of
Canadian Standards Association (CSA) standard Z662-07 establishes essential requirements and minimum standards for the design, materials, construction, operation, and maintenance of gas pipeline systems. The CSA standard has specific provisions for sour gas service pipelines. Westcoast committed to meet all applicable provisions in the standard.
Russia to build gas pipeline to Georgian region
November 17, 2008. Russian gas giant Gazprom would build a pipeline directly to
The pipeline had been damaged and added that supplies were complicated by the fact that Gazprom had no direct transit agreement with
BHP, Shell eye stake in Philippine oil, gas project
November 13, 2008. BHP Billiton and the Philippine unit of Royal Dutch Shell both want to bid for a 20 percent stake the government is selling in an oil and gas exploration project. State-owned Philippine National Oil Co-Exploration Corp (PNOC-EC) is selling part of its 50 percent interest in a project looking for oil and gas in the southwestern
PNOC-EC's joint venture partner, Australia-based Nido Petroleum, was also looking to sell part of its 50 percent stake in the exploration project and could unload up to 35 percent. The new partner, if it wins both stakes, will have a controlling stake of 55 percent. Both Shell Philippines Exploration and BHP, the world's biggest mining group, were also interested in Nido's stake.
The project site is near the Camago-Malampaya gas field off the coast of
Nido is part of the consortium behind the Galoc oilfield, the
POWER
Power generation from Thar Coal to start in next five years
November 18, 2008. According to Federal Minister for Water and Power, Raja Pervaiz Ashraf power generation from Thar Coal deposits will start within the next five years. Presently, the country is short of 3500 MW to 4000 MW of electricity.
Another major step in this direction is the construction of Bhasha Diamir dam and the contract of which has been awarded to the Chinese Consortium. The project has 25,000 MW identified potential.
The long term plan, we need $13 bn for power generation, $10 bn out of which will be from the private sector. By the end of 2009, there will be no load-shedding in the country. The Federal Minister said that the present government was trying its best to provide maximum relief to the common man despite the economic recession, which is a global phenomenon.
The government has offloaded the burden of $4 bn from the shoulders of the public by revising the electricity tariff. Now, the government will have to bear the burden of $117 bn.
96 MW added to city’s power grid, claims KESC
November 18, 2008. The Karachi Electric Supply Corporation (KESC) announced the immediate generation of 96 Megawatts (MW) of electricity from its Korangi Thermal Power Plant as the privatised power utility took over the first phase of commercial operations at the newly-installed generation plant.
In line with its stated commitment to increase generation capacity within the organisation, the KESC took over the first phase of the commercial operations at the Korangi Thermal Power Plant. Announcing immediate generation from the plant, the KESC said that it has added 96 Megawatts (MWs) out of a total potential capacity of 220 MW to
This addition is part of the KESC’s initiative to ensure self reliance in meeting the city’s power needs, aiming to increase capacity which can help minimise power shortages in the city. According to the KESC, the addition of Korangi Thermal Power Plant follows the addition of a 50-MWs rental power earlier this month, which is expected to be at full capacity by December this year.
Apart from the 220-MWs Korangi power plant and the 50-MWs rental power generation, the KESC would also install another 200-MWs power generation plant on a fast track basis. Another 50 MWs additional power would be generated through enhancing capacity of existing generation plants, while 50 to 70 MWs would be availed from the industry that would be surplus to its needs.
China's monthly power output falls for 1st time in 4 years
November 13, 2008.
Coal-fired power generation slid 5.2% in October from a year earlier, accounting for most of the overall reduction. Coal-fired power generation accounts for about 80% of the country's total power generation. Hydropower output fell 1.4% on year in October, while output of nuclear power grew 11.2% on year.
A number of export-oriented manufacturing and packaging factories in coastal
Economists expect
Transmission / Distribution / Trade
SA mulls buying electricity from Moz
November 18 2008. Power-starved
The station would produce up to 680 megawatts, powered by gas from
Eskom's expansion programme seeks to increase generation capacity and strengthen the transmission and distribution grid, to support growth in the region. Eskom currently generates about 45 percent of electricity used on the continent and 95 percent of electricity used locally.
Niles considers reviving dam to supply electricity
November 16, 2008. The
Policy / Performance
Coal takes lumps as
November 18, 2008. A few months ago, coal was riding high alongside oil and natural gas, in demand with lofty prices. But like the other fossil fuels, coal prices have fallen amid the global economic crisis and shrunken demand even from its biggest fan,
In September, that production rose 11.2 percent. But most alarming, is a 17 percent drop in
China’s hunger for coal had been a boon for the
Moreover, as production of metals and steel declines, metallurgical coal will be looking for new buyers. Thermal coal demand is down as well. Blanch said power production in
Electricity sale by end of 2009
November 18, 2008. The NSW Government hopes to finalise the sale of the state's electricity assets by the end of 2009, after it was forced to abort plans to sell the electricity generators earlier this year. Under its revamped plan, the Government hopes to sell the electricity retailers EnergyAustralia, Integral Energy and Country Energy along with development sites for power stations, and also trading rights from the generators.
The sales strategy for the assets to be sold would be finalised within three to four weeks, and the full sales strategy finalised by February or March. The sales were to be completed by the end of next year. Because of the recent turmoil in financial markets, financing approaches had changed, he said, and bidders would use more equity and less borrowings to fund any purchases. There would be a greater focus on risk, and the due diligence process is longer.
Even though the electricity market trading rights of the power generators will be sold, the Government will still be exposed to the significant risks attached to volatile wholesale electricity prices. The Greens MP John Kaye claimed the sale of the trading rights would give the buyers significant sway over the activities of the state-owned generators.
Energy firms under pressure to pass on new low oil prices
November 18, 2008.
The price of oil hits fuel bills because it is linked to the price of gas the
Energy bills soared by 40 per cent in the first half of this year, with companies blaming the soaring price of oil. Brent crude rose to a new high of $144 a barrel in July but fell back yesterday to hit $53 a barrel, its lowest since January 2007. Despite the 63 per cent cut, fuel bills have stayed high since the summer, averaging £1,292 for an annual dual-fuel deal. The industry body, the Energy Retail Association, insisted the power companies would have to wait for a sustained period of low prices before passing them on to consumers, because they had entered long-term contracts when the oil price was high.
Romania to sign nuclear power deal
November 18 2008.
The partners are Belgian Electrabel, owned by French power giant GDF Suez, German power giant RWE, Czech utility CEZ, Italy's Enel, Spain's Iberdrola and a Romanian unit of steel giant ArcelorMittal. The things that had to be completed were selecting a supplier, receiving authorisation from the European Commission and achieving agreement among the many investors on the various aspects of the project.
Romania's Prime Minister, Calin Tariceanu, has estimated the investment in the two new units at Cernavoda, which has two existing reactors, at around 4 bn euros ($5.05 bn). Work at the Cernavoda plant began 30 years ago. The plant's first unit went on stream in 1996 and the second in 2007. The two new units, planned at 706 MW each, should be completed by 2015.
Govt to review need for new power plants in Malaysia
November 18, 2008. The Malayasian government will review the need for new power plants by the end of 2009 as electricity consumption has weakened in the last one year. The decision was made yesterday by a committee, the Jawatankuasa Perancangan Pelaksanaan Pembekalan Elektrik dan Tariff (JPPET), which the minister chairs. Demand for electricity has fallen by 4.8 per cent this year.
Malaysia has a total installed generation capacity of 19,743 MW, while in contrast, the maximum demand was 14,007 MW. Power consumption is expected to increase by 3.0 to 3.5 per cent in five to six years. The current 42 per cent reserve is expected to rise to 47 per cent next year with the commissioning of a new independent power producer (IPP) in Jimah, Negri Sembilan.
Malaysia's reserve margin is expected to come down to only 25 per cent as a result of the decommissioning of five IPPs in 2016. If there is demand for power, he said, the five plants could be recommissioned to supply electricity at a cheaper rate.
Electricity deregulation in
November 17, 2008. In a study commissioned by Reliant Energy Inc. and released Monday, a
Renewable Energy Trends
National
Device to provide cheap renewable electricity developed
November 17, 2008. Researchers have developed a device that harnesses the power of the sea to push water uphill to provide cheap renewable electricity. According to a report in The Times, the invention, known as Searaser, is designed to pump water hundreds of feet above sea level from where it can gush downhill to drive hydroelectric generators. Pumping is made possible by the motion of waves lifting the device, as it floats in the sea, and gravity bringing it down again in the wave troughs.
Alvin Smith, the engineer who developed Searaser, has already envisaged alternative uses of the device such as pumping desalinated water inland for irrigation in dry countries. Its main use would be to help Britain to end its reliance on fossil fuels and so reduce the man-made emissions of carbon dioxide that are blamed widely for causing, or at least contributing significantly to, climate change. If successful, the device could help
According to Smith, one of the big advantages of the wave device is that the turbines that would be used to generate electricity are a proven technology and have been in use for years in hydroelectric installations in hilly areas where water can be held in reservoirs. The wave pump consists of two floats, one above the other, fitted to a double-acting piston. Water is pumped as the floats are forced together and apart by the motion of the waves. Chains and weights fix the device to the sea floor and the pump is able to operate in water as shallow as 30ft (9m) as well as in extreme weather conditions.
Each of the pumps has a capacity of just 0.25mw, but they are expected to be used together in their dozens, or even hundreds, side by side along the coast or further out at sea. A prototype has just completed tests in which it pumped water more than 160ft (50m) uphill through a pipe the diameter of a saucer.
Lanco Infra divestment in biomass projects
November 14, 2008. Lanco Infratech Ltd has entered into share purchase agreements with Agri Gold Projects to divest its stake in two biomass projects in favour of the latter. According to company sources, the agreement was executed by Lanco Infratech Ltd, and other promoters to divest stake in Rithwik Energy Systems Ltd and Clarion Power Corporation Ltd. Both are biomass projects and subsidiaries of the company.
The move will enable Lanco Infra to divest 100 per cent equity in these biomass plants. The company believes that it would prefer to focus on larger projects and stay away from biomass projects. The Clarion Power plant is based near Ongole and has 12 MW capacity and Rithwik, a 6-MW project, is located at Srikakulam. The company did not disclose the transaction value.
L&T goes green, plans to enter solar power generation business
November 14, 2008. L&T is in talks with two firms to make machinery Engineering and construction company Larsen and Toubro Ltd (L&T) plans to enter solar power generation and expand its offering in the green energy technology business that includes nuclear and hydel power. L&T is in talks with two firms to make machinery for solar panels, but declined to elaborate.
Environment-friendly energy technology has attracted firms including Wipro Ltd, Tata BP Solar India Ltd and Reliance Industries Ltd. Global interest in renewable energy such as solar and wind power has grown in recent years because of rising crude oil prices, which touched a peak of $147 (Rs7,173.60) a barrel in July before starting to decline.
Subsidies announced by the Indian government this year for firms that generate electricity from solar panels are also an incentive for companies to enter green energy technology. In 2007, L&T set up L&T Power Projects Ltd, an investment arm for all its power projects, and L&T Power Development Co. Ltd, a subsidiary that will execute coal-fired and multi-fuel power plants in the country. According to consulting firm Frost and Sullivan, the installed capacity for solar power plants in
This is expected to increase to 1,000MW by 2017, according to a government panel on solar energy. Maturing technologies such as photovoltaic cells and solar thermal power generation (an alternative to coal-based thermal power plants) make it timely for firms such as L&T to set up renewable energy projects and win carbon credits. Companies that shift to cleaner technologies that reduce greenhouse gas emissions win carbon credits that they can sell for a price.
Draft policy speaks of SEZs for renewable energy sector
November 14, 2008. The proposed renewable energy policy of Karnataka to be unveiled on January 1 is likely to envisage measures to set up dedicated Special Economic Zones (SEZs) for the renewable energy sector a concept that is said to be the first of its kind in the country.
Such a measure has been mentioned in the draft renewable energy policy prepared by the Karnataka Renewable Energy Development Limited, the nodal agency of the State Government for promotion of renewable energy. The draft policy will be finalised by the Government in consultation with experts, industrialists and stake-holders.
The 15-page draft policy has laid emphasis on promoting solar, wind and bio-mass energy in a big way to tide over the power shortage. It has also envisaged a plan for tapping various other forms of non-conventional energy, such as tidal wave energy and geo-thermal energy.
At present, Karnataka is tapping nearly 2,000 MW of renewable energy. Of this, wind energy contribution is 1,120 MW while the small hydel energy share is 416 MW. The draft policy envisages increasing the generation capacity of renewable energy by 3,392 MW by 2012 and 6,050 MW by 2018.
Of the proposed increase of 3,392 MW, about 3,000 MW is planned to come through additional generation in solar, wind and bio-mass sectors. The draft policy notes that the planned addition of 3,392 MW by 2012 is expected to bring investments of about Rs. 22,341 crore ($4.56 bn) to the State, while an addition of 6,050 MW by 2018 will fetch investments to the tune of Rs. 46,250 crore ($9.45 bn).
The break-up of the target for various energy sources for 2012 is as follows: wind energy (present installed capacity 1,120.68 MW) 3,500 MW; small hydel (416 MW) 900 MW; co-generation (339 MW) 450 MW; bio-mass (81 MW) 400 MW. The main intention is to bridge the power shortage by providing a boost to renewable, energy which is eco-friendly.
The draft policy has also stressed the need for establishing a single window clearance mechanism for looking into various clearances and sanctions to be obtained by the renewable energy projects from government agencies.
Such a mechanism should also cover execution of power purchase agreement and the payment to the private generators for the electricity sold to the distribution companies, the draft policy has suggested. Several incentives have also been proposed for the renewable energy projects, including the exemption from entry tax on generation equipment.
IOC eyes wind power to cut loss from fuel sales
November 12, 2008. For IndianOil Corporation, the answer may be blowing in the wind. Stung by mounting losses from fuel sales due to government's oil pricing policy, the flagship refiner-marketer is foraying into wind power with Pune-based windmill-maker Suzlon to cut down its energy bill and maybe earn some carbon credits in the process and tax breaks.
According to sources, a wind power plant is being set up at the port city of
The project, conceptualised by IndianOil's director (business development) A M Bansal, does not envisage any equity participation by wind turbine-maker Suzlon. There is no proposal for giving any equity to Suzlon. It will be the supplier of the equipment. The project is seen as being economical if the power is used internally.
Kandla has been chosen because of the wind-swept nature of the coastal town and presence of extensive field infrastructure in the region. The company’s main consumption centres are refineries, that may come later as and when issues like space and geographical parameters are studied. The Kandla project will make IndianOil the third state-owned oil company to foray into wind power generation.
Flagship explorer Oil and Natural Gas Corporation was the first to draw up plans for such a project three years back to power its oil-pumping operations in Gujarat's
It has placed orders for a wind power farm with a capacity of 50 MW but other plans appear to be doddering. Refiner-marketer Hindustan Petroleum followed suit announcing last year its plans to set up a plant with 25 MW capacity. The project, however, is facing hurdles on account of land and other issues.
Generation utility NTPC too has announced plans to set up wind power projects at an investment of up to Rs 500 crore ($101.62 mn). Wind power is attracting corporates as these are seen as eco-friendly and economical due to tax breaks enjoyed by such projects. Besides, these could also be used to earn carbon credits which can then be traded for money.
Global
Cow Power is coming to
November 18, 2008.
The network will take methane gas from cow manure from as many as nine dairies, upgrade the gas to utility standards, and deliver it to a PG&E pipeline. I think the time has come and this is a tremendous step forward. It is the largest step that is occurred in the dairy industry to completely revolutionize the way they operate and eliminate most of the emissions coming from dairies.
Piedmont natural gas joins council for responsible energy
November 17, 2008. Piedmont Natural Gas Co. Inc. has joined the Council for Responsible Energy, a national coalition that promotes the use of natural gas. Research clearly shows that customers want to do the right thing when it comes to the environment and our long-term energy goals, but they are unaware of the many ways natural gas helps them do that.
The time is right to educate the public that by choosing natural gas you can help save energy, reduce emissions and protect the environment, without compromising performance or lifestyle. The Council for Responsible Energy has more than 190 member organizations.
EPA announces RFS for 2009
November 17, 2008. The 2009 renewable fuel standard (RFS) will be 10.21 percent to ensure that at least 11.1 billion gallons of renewable fuels be blended into transportation gasoline.
The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 (EISA) established the annual overall renewable fuel volume targets, reaching a level of 36 bn gallons in 2022. To achieve these volumes, EPA calculates a percentage-based standard by November 30 for the following year.
Based on the standard, each refiner, importer and non-oxygenate blender of gasoline determines the minimum volume of renewable fuel that it must ensure is used in motor vehicle fuel. The 2008 standard was 7.76 percent, equating to roughly 9 billion gallons.
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