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Amoha Basrur, “AI in Space Operations: Opportunities and Challenges,” ORF Issue Brief No. 791, April 2025, Observer Research Foundation.
Introduction
In the new golden age of space exploration, Artificial Intelligence (AI) is pushing the boundaries of human capabilities even further than previously imagined possible—by revolutionising space operations, from planning and automation to launch and communication. As the sector goes through a period of exponential growth, AI will be a key to unlocking the full potential of space exploration and creating breakthroughs for anticipated commercial ventures such as space tourism.
India has acknowledged the importance of this niche. The Indian Space Research Organisation’s (ISRO) Respond Basket 2023[a] included eight research areas focused on AI and Machine Learning (ML).[1] It has also launched initiatives like the ‘AI for Space and Geospatial Innovation: ISRO Immersion Startup Challenge’ in 2024, that is aimed at fostering the development of AI applications in space.[2]
However, like in any other sector, AI in space is fraught with challenges and uncertainties. Given the sector’s strategic nature, these threats are posed not just to the operations but to national security, overall. India can learn from and partner with other spacefaring nations to address these challenges while driving innovation in its domestic ecosystem. This brief examines how key countries are deploying AI in space operations, the challenges they face, and their strengths and areas of development. It outlines a path for the future of AI in space.
Applications and Risks of AI in Space
AI applications for space operations can be broadly categorised as either Earth-based or onboard.
Applications like communication optimisation and debris tracking through space situational awareness can be deployed from either or both platforms.[8],[9] However, onboard AI in space faces unique environmental challenges, making its deployment complex. These systems must contend with radiation and extreme temperature variations. Additionally, AI systems consume massive computational and power resources. AI devices often require high currents at low voltages, which is hard to achieve in space. Both the software and hardware need modification to operate in extreme conditions,[10] slowing the development of onboard AI despite numerous promising use cases.
Irrespective of the AI system’s location, data quality and training remain key concerns. However, the nascent and strategic nature of both the technology and operational domains poses cumulative national security risks.
The following section discusses how key players in space are developing their AI ecosystems to enhance operations, along with their unique strengths and challenges in development and deployment.
India
Initiatives
India has ambitious plans for AI in space. In addition to the Respond Basket and ISRO Immersion Startup Challenge, India has already deployed AI for space missions and exploration. The Pragyan rover and Vikram lander in Chandrayaan-2, launched in 2019, and Chandrayaan-3, launched in 2023, were AI-equipped to facilitate landing and navigation on the lunar surface.[17],[18]
For the Gaganyaan mission, India’s maiden human space mission, which is tentatively scheduled for late 2026, ISRO will launch an AI-enabled half-humanoid, Vyommitra, into space. This robot will test the Geosynchronous Satellite Launch Vehicle Mark III (GSLV Mk III) rocket and ensure its safety for human travel, tracking changes in the crew module during spaceflight and return.[19]
The Indian private sector is also integrating AI into its operations. For instance, Dhruva Space uses AI and ML for onboard processing to minimise the need for downlinking large datasets. Edge computing improves operational efficiency by conducting initial data analyses in orbit.[20]
Strengths Enabling Ecosystem: The Government of India launched the IndiaAI mission in 2024 to create a comprehensive AI system in the country. The plan aims to build AI computing infrastructure, create datasets, develop indigenous models, generate financing, and foster innovation across sectors.[21] The government’s enthusiasm to create a conducive environment is a strong sign of progress for AI development in India.
Areas of Development
China
Initiatives
China has been purposefully leveraging AI in space for both civilian and military applications. Researchers have claimed to conduct groundbreaking experiments, including temporarily giving AI full control of a satellite to test its decision-making.[32] China’s commercial Earth observation satellites, such as the Jilin-1, are equipped with AI to improve the precision tracking of small objects. Satellites launched by China in recent years feature processors capable of uploading; the latest AI algorithms to automatically identify and track moving targets in real time without ground assistance.[33] China has also conducted experiments with using AI in space combat, training an anti-satellite AI to command three small “hunter” satellites to trick and capture a target in a simulated space battle.[34]
China plans to continue expanding its constellation of AI-enabled satellites. Chang Guang Satellite Technology, which operates the Jilin-1 satellite constellation, aims to grow it to 300 satellites by 2025.[35]
Strengths
Areas of Development
United States
Initiatives
The US leads in both AI and space, maintaining a minor edge over China in output quality despite China’s rapid development.[43] The US has been innovating across sectors such as space exploration, satellite management, and debris tracking. The Perseverance rover, for instance, uses a computer vision system called AEGIS to detect and classify rocks on Mars.[44] Stanford’s Center for AEroSpace Autonomy Research is developing AI projects that combine trajectory optimisation with generative AI to enable autonomous space flight.[45] NASA’s Europa Lander mission prototype[46] plans to leverage autonomy to reduce ground-in-the-loop (GITL) cycles, preserving mission time and energy. The mission’s harsh environment and communication delays necessitate autonomous decision-making and in-situ data analysis. AI will help these missions to prioritise tasks, manage resources, and make real-time scientific discoveries without direct human intervention. The US also prioritises military applications, as reflected in its Data and Artificial Intelligence Strategic Action Plan, that emphasises the importance of modernity and agility in its data and AI systems.[47]
Strengths
Areas of Development
Japan
Initiatives
Japan was an early adopter of AI in space, with the Japan Aerospace Exploration Agency (JAXA) using it for the launch of Epsilon in 2013. AI reduced the number of people needed at the launch centre through by serving as self-inspecting function.[51] Japan also use AI to handle the enormous volumes of data collected by its telescopes. The Subaru Telescope, operated by the National Astronomical Observatory of Japan (NAOJ), used AI in its 2014 “Galaxy Cruise” project. The initiative used citizen science to train AI to classify galaxy morphologies with 97.5 percent accuracy. Mitsubishi Heavy Industries developed AIRIS (Artificial Intelligence Retraining in Space), that can sift through Earth-observation data to identify dark ships[d] and reduce delays in launching interventions.[52]
Strengths
Areas of Development
South Korea
Initiatives
South Korea, with decades of space operations behind it, established the Korea Aerospace Administration in 2024 to coordinate and further expand its space activities. Its long-term goals include landing a robotic spacecraft on the Moon by 2032 and a Mars mission by 2045,[55] both involving significant AI integration for navigation, data collection, and autonomous decision-making. South Korea aims to become a key player in the global space industry with ambitious future plans.
Strengths
Areas of Development
The Way Forward for AI in Space
The use of AI in space will continue to grow. Earth-based systems are widely used for scientific, military, and developmental endeavours. As human space missions increase and new commercial ventures such as space tourism develop, onboard AI will become crucial for space missions. AI will automate mundane tasks, improve decision-making, counter cybersecurity threats,[61] and improve biomonitoring and Earth-independent healthcare.[62] Additionally, as spacecraft advance to traverse greater distances, AI-enabled communication and data transfer will be vital.
AI systems must be developed to be more transparent to build confidence and more robust to handle faults and unexpected situations without human intervention. The development of transparent, fault-tolerant AI systems will be a key challenge to overcome.
Extensive testing of systems and components is essential to detect anomalies and tampering, requiring the development of diagnostic tools that can keep pace with evolving malicious technologies. Strengthening physical and cybersecurity measures across manufacturing, transportation, and deployment phases is also essential. Developing these solutions involves transnational cooperation.
The paralysis of multilateral organisations has highlighted the need for India to invest in and leverage bilateral and minilateral relationships to further its strategic interests.[63] These choices must be based on the opportunities and drawbacks of potential partner countries.
India’s relationship with China has been tense since the Galwan Valley clash in 2020. Despite the potential for a tactical thaw,[64] the military standoff continues, and India remains wary of Chinese technology.[65] Japan and the US also have strategic interests that conflict with China. However, despite shared reservations, these countries have more AI investment activity with China than with each other.[66] This disjointedness between interests and actions must be remedied for safe and trusted technological development. India can collaborate with global leaders in space exploration and AI, prioritising scientific and economic development without compromising its national security interests.
The US and India share strong private-sector ties, driven by substantial US funding in India’s space ecosystem. India has taken this a step further by allowing 100 percent foreign direct investment (FDI) in the space sector.[67] Going forward, India should build on its space situational awareness agreement with the US[68] beyond military data sharing and acquire access to large datasets required for training AI models, such as satellite imagery, environmental data, and mission telemetry.
Japan’s ageing population has prioritised innovation in advanced automation and robotics,[69] offering India an opportunity to absorb and contribute to these advancements. Japan can bridge manpower gaps in its technology ecosystem by outsourcing human resource-heavy stages of AI development to India. As Indian ministries and governments adopt space technologies,[70] India also offers a larger market for the Japanese private space sector to grow.
South Korea excels in semiconductor technology—a key component of the compute infrastructure India aims to develop. It has reinforced its ambitions with a recent US$19 billion investment in its chip industry.[71] This presents a key area for India-South Korea collaboration. Collaborative efforts could involve the development of specialised space-AI chips that account for factors like radiation resistance, power efficiency, and reliability. India, contributing 20 percent of the global chip design talent,[72] can strengthen its role by developing a domestic ecosystem that generates Indian-owned patents. Combined with its AI software expertise, India can help optimise these chips for space missions.
International debates on sharing and managing space data have[73] direct national security implications. Ethical issues, such as equity and inclusion in space access, will also contribute to the discourse and direction of policy. There is a need for widely accepted technical standards that permit interoperability, safety, and transparency in space. Countries must balance protecting sensitive data with enabling scientific collaboration. Harmonising standards through soft law approaches, as in the case of space debris management, could serve as a model for international cooperation, preventing monopolisation or militarisation of space data.
India must strengthen its position in the global space arena by learning from and collaborating with like-minded nations while fostering innovation within its domestic ecosystem. The path forward lies in driving technological advancements while creating robust frameworks to manage the associated risks.
Endnotes
[a] ISRO’s Respond Basket comprises the most urgent and important research problems identified by ISRO/ DOS Centre/ Units based on ISRO's upcoming programmatic R&D requirements.
[b] Noise is the random contribution from other sources that affects the measurement of a signal.
[c] A digital twin is a virtual representation of a real-world system that is used for real-time monitoring, simulation, testing, and maintenance.
[d] Dark ships are vessels that switch off their Automatic Identification System to avoid detection while carrying out illegal activities.
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Amoha Basrur is a Junior Fellow at ORF’s Centre for Security Strategy and Technology. Her research focuses on the national security implications of technology, specifically on ...
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